Tuesday, July 21, 2009

Mortgage rates are falling. What's going on?


Mortgage rates are falling today! Almost all lenders now have "best" rates on the 30year fixed rate mortgage a bit below 5% this afternoon. Rates on other types of loans are falling in tandem. Jumbo loans are making a comeback. Please call for more information on rates and terms available. Jumbo loans (since they are not regulated by Fannie and Freddie) tend to differ a lot from lender to lender, so we need quite a bit of information to determine which lender fits you best.

While the stock market closed up for the 7th straight day, based on better than expected earnings reports, there was also news that has put "fear" back into the hearts of some of the larger institutional investors, driving those funds back into bonds. The 10 year Treasury bond closed below 3.5% today for the first time in over a week.

News that is driving fear into investors surrounds CIT group, one of the major lenders for small and mid sized businesses. The government has decided that CIT is "not too big to fail" and has left this financial giant to flounder, seeking private capital, and perhaps heading for a Chapter 11 bankruptcy. CIT did receive TARP funds in the original round of bailouts, so if they file for bankruptcy, those TARP funds will not be repaid to taxpayers. The reason for the investor fear though is if CIT collapses, it could deal a "crippling blow to an economy still bleeding hundreds of thousands of jobs a month..." Apparently CIT is a very big player in the clothing and merchandise industries.

In the meantime, we are hearing more and more that the recession is winding down and we should start looking for recovery mode in the next 1 to 2 quarters (by the end of 2009!). Your mantra today is "please let this be true." It would be so great to see our economy stabilizing, people back to work, housing prices stable and even rising? Is that too much to ask?

Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke was testifying before Congress today, giving his state of the economy speech, and trying to assure Congress that the Feds do have a handle on this runaway government spending, and can take on a "supercop role" if need be, in policing and monitoring the big financial institutions.

It's amazing and disconcerting to me that one body (the Feds) should have the power to control monetary policy, police the financial institutions, and is now getting involved in the policing of the mortgage industry as well. Fed Chief, Bernanke, is urging Congress to keep proposals to audit the Fed away from monetary policy duties. Excuse me, but does this man think he should have absolute power over the monetary policy of this country, without being subject to audit? OK - stepping off my soapbox, because I've wandered away from the subject of mortgages...

Say YAY today. With all this turmoil up on Capitol Hill, the investment community is nervous enough to be moving funds back into Treasury bonds and driving mortgage rates down. That's the crux of the news today, in a nutshell.

Make it a great afternoon.

Warm regards,

Shelby Bateson
503-819-6545 phone
http://www.shelbytncmortgage.com

**Best rates apply to borrowers with Loan to Value at or below 90% and credit scores of 740+. ** Best FHA rates apply to credit scores of 660 and up. There are upward rate adjustments for lower credit scores on all loan programs. All rates are subject to change without notice. These rates are NOT APRs - do not include closing costs.

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